From our correspondents who trade in tomorrow's certainties: prediction markets have rendered their verdict, and it is thunderous. Kalshi exchange prices Elon Musk as the world's first trillionaire at a staggering 91% probability, to be achieved before the first dawn of 2030 — a figure that in polite company would be called a foregone conclusion.

The stakes, dear reader, are not merely financial. A single individual commanding one trillion dollars would represent wealth exceeding the gross domestic product of most sovereign nations — a concentration of private capital without precedent in the modern era. Musk's interlocking empire of Tesla, SpaceX, and xAI provides the engine; market consensus merely watches the gauges climb. At $1,470 in daily trading volume, the signal is modest in size but deafening in confidence.

Only a dramatic reversal — regulatory catastrophe, a ruinous collision of markets, or the spectacular unwinding of one of his ventures — would see the bettors proven wrong.