WASHINGTON — If the betting men of Polymarket are to be believed, the next Federal Reserve Chair is already chosen, the paperwork merely awaiting its moment. Prediction markets have priced former Fed Governor Kevin Warsh at a staggering 94% probability of receiving the formal nomination from President Trump, with over thirteen million dollars placed in a single twenty-four-hour stretch — the kind of volume that suggests not mere speculation, but intelligence. The chair of the Federal Reserve commands the most consequential financial post in the Republic, setting interest rates that govern the cost of every mortgage, business loan, and Treasury note in these United States. Markets have watched Trump signal dissatisfaction with incumbent Jerome Powell for months, and the consensus now reads the succession as settled business. Should Trump submit Warsh's name to the Senate, Polymarket resolves — and the gamblers collect. Only an eleventh-hour presidential reversal, a dark-horse appointment, or some unforeseen scandal stands between the market and its winnings.